Substack

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The Hamiltonian Turn
Governments now value capability over efficiency. That shift shapes the framework, the evidence across six countries, and the portfolio we run.
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Four Years of Pinetree Macro: Thank You!
On 12 August 2026, Pinetree Macro completed four years.
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Two Years of Return in Two Months
Information is now free and simultaneous, so capital saturates an asset class and abandons it inside a quarter. Here is how I think about investing in a world of rolling bubbles.
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Manufacturing in India: The Tide Is Turning
Our Calls, Currency, Trade access, and Manufacturing
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The AI Capex Bubble: Bigger Than You Think, Funded by You Don’t Know Who
How the AI buildout is being financed, and why it matters more than whether the technology works

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